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England · National League Premier · National League Playoff

03 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ROCHDALE vs SCUNTHORPE

Final 2:1

Rochdale won Last goal: Scunthorpe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Will Evans (own goal) — Rochdale

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Devante Rodney — Rochdale
  2. ⚽ Declan Howe — Scunthorpe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Rochdale
90-minute result: Rochdale
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 90 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 520 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 544 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
404 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
222 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
443 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
254 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
382 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
473 predictions

Match overview