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Ukraine · Premier League

09 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ZORYA vs METALIST 1925

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Zorya

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Peter Itodo — Metalist 1925

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Reynaldino Verley — Zorya

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
37%
1X2
Metalist 1925
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 212 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 208 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 50 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
157 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
160 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 27% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 4.5 14% (Weak)
21 predictions

Match overview