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France · Ligue 2

09 May 2026 18:00 UTC

SC BASTIA vs LE MANS

Awaits result

Last goal: Le Mans

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Erwan Colas — Le Mans

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Milan Robin — Le Mans

Model prediction

Good
40%
1X2
Draw
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 105 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
164 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
216 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
163 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
238 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
273 predictions

Match preview