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France · Ligue 2

09 May 2026 18:00 UTC

LAVAL vs BOULOGNE

Final 2:1

Laval won Last goal: Boulogne

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Christ-Owen Kouassi — Laval
  2. ⚽ Mamadou Camara — Laval

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luka Boiteau (penalty) — Boulogne

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
40%
1X2
Boulogne
90-minute result: Laval
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
164 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
216 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 20% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 4.5 6% (Weak)
16 predictions

Match overview