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Switzerland · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

09 May 2026 16:00 UTC

FC WINTERTHUR vs FC LAUSANNE-SPORT

Final 2:1

FC Winterthur won Last goal: FC Winterthur

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nishan Burkart — FC Winterthur

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Omar Janneh — FC Lausanne-Sport
  2. ⚽ Andrin Hunziker — FC Winterthur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Winterthur
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 73 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 207 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 207 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
57 predictions
Both teams to score 70% (Strong)
146 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
183 predictions
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
175 predictions

Match overview