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England · League One · League One Playoff

09 May 2026 14:00 UTC

STEVENAGE vs STOCKPORT COUNTY

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

Top match Stockport County won Last goal: Stockport County

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ben Osborn — Stockport County

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Underdog
39%
1X2
Stockport County
90-minute result: Stockport County
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
8%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 107 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 535 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 540 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
387 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
216 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
104 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
276 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
407 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
488 predictions

Match overview