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England · League One

02 May 2026 14:00 UTC

WYCOMBE vs ROTHERHAM

Final 3:2

Top match Wycombe won Last goal: Wycombe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Taylor Allen · assist Jamie Mullins — Wycombe
  2. Jack Holmes · assist Joe Rafferty — Rotherham
  3. Jack Holmes · assist Harry Gray — Rotherham
  4. Bradley Fink · assist Junior Quitirna — Wycombe

2nd half

  1. Micah Olabiyi · assist Declan Skura — Wycombe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 167 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 523 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 528 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
318 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
426 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
257 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
478 predictions

Match overview