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Poland · Ekstraklasa

09 May 2026 18:15 UTC

GORNIK ZABRZE vs ZAGLEBIE LUBIN

Final 0:2

Zaglebie Lubin won Last goal: Zaglebie Lubin

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jakub Kolan — Zaglebie Lubin
  2. ⚽ Levente Szabó — Zaglebie Lubin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Gornik Zabrze
90-minute result: Zaglebie Lubin
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 270 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
186 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
96 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
214 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
139 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
237 predictions

Match overview