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Poland · Ekstraklasa

08 May 2026 16:00 UTC

RAKOW CZESTOCHOWA vs KORONA KIELCE

Final 2:0

Rakow Czestochowa won Last goal: Rakow Czestochowa

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lamine Diaby-Fadiga — Rakow Czestochowa
  2. ⚽ Marko Bulat — Rakow Czestochowa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Rakow Czestochowa
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 96 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 267 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 268 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
83 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
173 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
213 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
235 predictions

Match overview