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Poland · Ekstraklasa

09 May 2026 12:45 UTC

WIDZEW LODZ vs LECHIA GDANSK

Final 3:1

Widzew Lodz won Last goal: Lechia Gdansk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian Bergier — Widzew Lodz
  2. ⚽ Sebastian Bergier — Widzew Lodz
  3. ⚽ Steve Kapuadi — Widzew Lodz

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivan Zhelizko — Lechia Gdansk
  2. 🟥 Juljan Shehu (2nd yellow) — Widzew Lodz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Lechia Gdansk
90-minute result: Widzew Lodz
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 270 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
186 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
174 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
214 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
237 predictions

Match overview