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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Southwest

09 May 2026 13:00 UTC

TSV SCHOTT MAINZ vs TSG BALINGEN

Final 2:3

TSG Balingen won Last goal: TSG Balingen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jacob Roden — TSV Schott Mainz
  2. ⚽ Amney Moutassime — TSG Balingen
  3. ⚽ Tim Hannak — TSG Balingen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jan Just — TSV Schott Mainz
  2. ⚽ Tim Hannak — TSG Balingen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
TSV Schott Mainz
90-minute result: TSG Balingen
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 231 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,422 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1424 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 55% (Average)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
1077 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
920 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
1211 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
887 predictions
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
542 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
1152 predictions

Match overview