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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga West

09 May 2026 12:00 UTC

FORTUNA KOELN vs SPORTFREUNDE SIEGEN

Final 2:1

Fortuna Koeln won Last goal: Fortuna Koeln

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Goden — Sportfreunde Siegen
  2. ⚽ Enzo Wirtz — Fortuna Koeln

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hamadi Al Ghaddioui — Fortuna Koeln

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Sportfreunde Siegen
90-minute result: Fortuna Koeln
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 294 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,422 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1424 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
1077 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
504 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
213 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
537 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
882 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
1152 predictions

Match overview