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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Bayern

09 May 2026 12:00 UTC

SPVGG HANKOFEN-HAILING vs FV ILLERTISSEN

Final 1:5

FV Illertissen won Last goal: FV Illertissen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Korbinian Stuetz (own goal) — FV Illertissen
  2. ⚽ Denis Milic — FV Illertissen
  3. ⚽ Brian Wagner — SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing
  4. ⚽ Yannick Glessing — FV Illertissen
  5. ⚽ Max Zeller — FV Illertissen

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Daniel Ertel (straight red) — SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing
  2. ⚽ Yannick Glessing — FV Illertissen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FV Illertissen
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 428 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,422 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1424 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
347 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
920 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
1211 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
537 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
882 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
1152 predictions

Match overview