← Back to matches

Ireland · Premier Division

08 May 2026 18:45 UTC

GALWAY UNITED FC vs SHAMROCK ROVERS

Final 1:3

Shamrock Rovers won Last goal: Shamrock Rovers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Michael Noonan — Shamrock Rovers
  2. ⚽ Adam Brennan — Shamrock Rovers

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Matty Wolfe — Galway United FC
  2. ⚽ Tunmise Sobowale — Shamrock Rovers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Galway United FC
90-minute result: Shamrock Rovers
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 160 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 128 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
89 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
50 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
98 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
117 predictions

Match overview