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Ireland · Premier Division

04 May 2026 16:00 UTC

BOHEMIAN FC vs SHELBOURNE

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Bohemian FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Adam McDonnell — Bohemian FC
  2. ⚽ John Martin — Shelbourne

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Harry Wood — Shelbourne
  2. ⚽ Harry Vaughan — Bohemian FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 155 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 124 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
96 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
68 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
94 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
113 predictions

Match overview