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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

03 May 2026 14:00 UTC

APOEL NICOSIA vs AEK LARNACA

Final 1:0

APOEL Nicosia won Last goal: APOEL Nicosia

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Diego Rosa — APOEL Nicosia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: APOEL Nicosia
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 211 completed matches.

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 22% (Weak)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
160 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
196 predictions

Match overview