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Albania · Kategoria Superiore

06 May 2026 14:00 UTC

BYLIS vs ELBASANI

Final 2:1

Bylis won Last goal: Bylis

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aurel Marku — Bylis
  2. ⚽ Karim Loukili — Elbasani
  3. ⚽ Pedro Vieira — Bylis

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Elbasani
90-minute result: Bylis
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 162 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview