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Albania · Kategoria Superiore

06 May 2026 14:00 UTC

KF TIRANA vs VLLAZNIA

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

KF Tirana won Last goal: KF Tirana

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rafael Freitas (penalty) — KF Tirana

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Esat Mala (straight red) — Vllaznia
  2. 🟥 Melos Bajrami (straight red) — Vllaznia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
KF Tirana
90-minute result: KF Tirana
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 162 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 41% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview