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Albania · Kategoria Superiore

06 May 2026 14:00 UTC

EGNATIA vs PARTIZANI

Final 2:0

Egnatia won Last goal: Egnatia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zamiq Aliyev — Egnatia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Soumaila Bakayoko — Egnatia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Partizani
90-minute result: Egnatia
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 162 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 3.5 5% (Weak)
20 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview