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Germany · 3. Liga

03 May 2026 14:30 UTC

WEHEN WIESBADEN vs OSNABRUECK

Final 2:3

Osnabrueck won Last goal: Osnabrueck

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tarik Gözüsirin — Wehen Wiesbaden

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ismail Badjie — Osnabrueck
  2. ⚽ Jordy Gillekens (own goal) — Osnabrueck
  3. ⚽ Nikolas Agrafiotis — Wehen Wiesbaden
  4. ⚽ Robert Tesche — Osnabrueck

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Wehen Wiesbaden
90-minute result: Osnabrueck
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 95 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 363 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 350 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
254 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
222 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
287 predictions
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
193 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
109 predictions
Total 4.5 19% (Weak)
48 predictions

Match overview