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Germany · 3. Liga

02 May 2026 12:00 UTC

JAHN REGENSBURG vs HOFFENHEIM II

Final 2:1

Jahn Regensburg won Last goal: Hoffenheim II

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Eric Hottmann (penalty) — Jahn Regensburg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Florian Dietz — Jahn Regensburg
  2. ⚽ Florian Bähr — Hoffenheim II

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Jahn Regensburg
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 111 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 357 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 346 completed matches.

1X2 21% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 21% (Weak)
94 predictions
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 15% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
239 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
298 predictions

Match overview