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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Apertura

03 May 2026 20:30 UTC

TOLIMA vs DEPORTIVO CALI

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Deportivo Cali

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Éver Valencia (penalty) — Tolima

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Steven Rodríguez (penalty) — Deportivo Cali

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Draw
Weak
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 164 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 426 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 395 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
119 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
193 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
281 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
234 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
328 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
371 predictions

Match preview