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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Apertura

03 May 2026 22:45 UTC

JUNIOR FC vs DEPORTIVO PASTO

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Good
45%
1X2
Junior FC
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Strong
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
9%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 426 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 395 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
276 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
202 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
281 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
161 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
328 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
371 predictions

Match preview