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Colombia · Categoria Primera A · Primera A Apertura

02 May 2026 21:00 UTC

CD JAGUARES vs CUCUTA

Final 2:0

CD Jaguares won Last goal: CD Jaguares

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Santiago Cubides — CD Jaguares
  2. ⚽ Yairo Moreno (penalty) — CD Jaguares

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CD Jaguares
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 163 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 424 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 393 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
118 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
192 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
279 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
233 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
326 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
369 predictions

Match overview