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England · League One

02 May 2026 14:00 UTC

STEVENAGE vs WIGAN

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Top match Stevenage won Last goal: Stevenage

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dan Sweeney — Stevenage

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Stevenage
90-minute result: Stevenage
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 139 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 523 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 528 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
379 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
210 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
102 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
271 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
399 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
478 predictions

Match overview