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Turkey · 1. Lig

02 May 2026 13:00 UTC

IGDIR FK vs AMED SPORTIF

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Igdir FK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Moryké Fofana — Igdir FK
  2. ⚽ Hasan Ali Kaldirim — Amed Sportif
  3. ⚽ Mbaye Diagne (own goal) — Igdir FK
  4. ⚽ Mbaye Diagne (penalty) — Amed Sportif

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Diaa Sabi'a — Amed Sportif
  2. ⚽ Atakan Çankaya — Igdir FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Amed Sportif
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 364 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 361 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
273 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
285 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
183 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
316 predictions

Match overview