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Turkey · 1. Lig

01 May 2026 17:00 UTC

MANISA FUTBOL KULUBU vs SAKARYASPOR

Final 5:0

Manisa Futbol Kulubu won Last goal: Manisa Futbol Kulubu

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bobby Adekanye — Manisa Futbol Kulubu
  2. ⚽ Bobby Adekanye — Manisa Futbol Kulubu

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Loïs Diony (penalty) — Manisa Futbol Kulubu
  2. ⚽ Loïs Diony — Manisa Futbol Kulubu
  3. ⚽ Loïs Diony — Manisa Futbol Kulubu

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Manisa Futbol Kulubu
90-minute result: Manisa Futbol Kulubu
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 360 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 358 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
270 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
152 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
283 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
175 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
313 predictions

Match overview