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Turkey · 1. Lig

02 May 2026 13:00 UTC

ESENLER EROKSPOR vs PENDIKSPOR

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Pendikspor

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Recep Niyaz — Esenler Erokspor
  2. ⚽ Mesut Özdemir — Pendikspor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
45%
1X2
Esenler Erokspor
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 364 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 361 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
273 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
285 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
183 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
316 predictions

Match overview