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Italy · Serie B

01 May 2026 13:00 UTC

MANTOVA vs MONZA

Final 3:2

Mantova won Last goal: Mantova

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rachid Kouda — Mantova
  2. ⚽ Leonardo Mancuso — Mantova

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lorenzo Lucchesi — Monza
  2. ⚽ Dany Mota — Monza
  3. ⚽ Fahem Benaïssa-Yahia — Mantova

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
Mantova
90-minute result: Mantova
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 358 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 356 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
245 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
151 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
155 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
289 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
334 predictions

Match overview