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England · Regional League · Southern Premier Division South Playoff

29 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

FARNHAM TOWN vs BERKHAMSTED

Final 2:1

Farnham Town won Last goal: Farnham Town

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jack Dean — Farnham Town

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jonathan Lacey — Berkhamsted
  2. ⚽ Darryl Sanders (penalty) — Farnham Town

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Berkhamsted
90-minute result: Farnham Town
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 348 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,669 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1777 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
1292 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
1095 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
1442 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
990 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
1255 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
1564 predictions

Match overview