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England · Regional League · Southern Premier Division Central Playoff

29 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

REAL BEDFORD vs KETTERING TOWN FC

Final 3:1

Real Bedford won Last goal: Real Bedford

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josh Setchell — Real Bedford

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Conor Tee — Real Bedford
  2. ⚽ Edward Panter — Kettering Town FC
  3. ⚽ Samuel Cartwright — Real Bedford

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Kettering Town FC
90-minute result: Real Bedford
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 348 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,669 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1777 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
1292 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
682 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
335 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
787 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
1255 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
1564 predictions

Match overview