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England · Regional League · Northern Premier Division Playoff

28 Apr 2026 18:45 UTC

HEDNESFORD vs STOCKTON TOWN

Final 2:0

Hednesford won Last goal: Hednesford

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Arjun Purewal (straight red) — Stockton Town
  2. ⚽ Montel Gibson — Hednesford

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Oliver Harrison — Hednesford

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Hednesford
90-minute result: Hednesford
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 119 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,667 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1775 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
1290 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
681 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
1440 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
988 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
1254 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
1563 predictions

Match overview