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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Relegation Playoff

27 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

AEL LIMASSOL vs ANORTHOSIS

Final 0:1

Anorthosis won Last goal: Anorthosis

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Michalis Ioannou — Anorthosis

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 205 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 206 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
55 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
115 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
158 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
193 predictions

Match overview