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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

26 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

APOEL NICOSIA vs PAFOS FC

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Pafos FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stefan Drazic — APOEL Nicosia
  2. ⚽ Nicholas Ioannou — Pafos FC
  3. ⚽ Stefan Drazic — APOEL Nicosia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Peter Olayinka — APOEL Nicosia
  2. ⚽ Derrick Luckassen — Pafos FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
APOEL Nicosia
90-minute result: APOEL Nicosia
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
12%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 203 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Good)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
110 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview