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Cyprus · First Division · Cyprus League Championship Playoff

26 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

APOLLON LIMASSOL vs OMONIA NICOSIA

Final 2:3

Omonia Nicosia won Last goal: Omonia Nicosia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zacharias Adoni — Apollon Limassol
  2. ⚽ Ryan Mmaee — Omonia Nicosia
  3. ⚽ Senou Coulibaly — Omonia Nicosia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Giorgos Malekkides — Apollon Limassol
  2. ⚽ Senou Coulibaly — Omonia Nicosia
  3. 🟥 Senou Coulibaly (2nd yellow) — Omonia Nicosia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Apollon Limassol
90-minute result: Omonia Nicosia
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 203 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Good)
149 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
110 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview