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Sweden · Superettan

26 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

IK BRAGE vs VARBERGS BOIS FC

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: IK Brage

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Willhelm Aerlig — Varbergs BoIS FC
  2. ⚽ Shanyder Borgelin — Varbergs BoIS FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Felix Horberg — IK Brage
  2. ⚽ Jakob Roemo Skille — IK Brage

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 189 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 154 completed matches.

1X2 11% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 11% (Weak)
27 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
56 predictions
Total 1.5 29% (Weak)
21 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
128 predictions

Match overview