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Sweden · Superettan

21 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

OEREBRO vs IFK NORRKOEPING

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Oerebro won Last goal: Oerebro

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Christoffer Nyman — IFK Norrkoeping
  2. ⚽ Samuel Wikman — Oerebro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Antonio Yakoub — Oerebro

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Oerebro
90-minute result: Oerebro
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 148 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 20 past matches

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
123 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
98 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
103 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
126 predictions

Match overview