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Sweden · Superettan

24 Apr 2026 17:00 UTC

LJUNGSKILE vs HELSINGBORG

Final 4:1

Ljungskile won Last goal: Ljungskile

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alexander Johansson — Helsingborg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Filip Ambroz — Ljungskile
  2. 🟥 Daouda Amadou (straight red) — Helsingborg
  3. ⚽ Isaac Shears — Ljungskile
  4. ⚽ Lukas Lindholm Corner — Ljungskile
  5. ⚽ Jonathan Liljedahl — Ljungskile

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Ljungskile
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 184 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 149 completed matches.

1X2 12% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 76% (Strong)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 12% (Weak)
25 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
94 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
99 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 14% (Weak)
22 predictions

Match overview