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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Apertura

26 Apr 2026 20:30 UTC

ATLETICO GRAU vs ALIANZA LIMA

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Alianza Lima

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Adrian de la Cruz (straight red) — Atletico Grau
  2. ⚽ — — Alianza Lima

Model prediction

Weak
Favorite
37%
1X2
Alianza Lima
Weak
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
13%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 285 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 256 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
181 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
121 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
139 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
207 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
241 predictions

Match preview