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England · Regional League · Northern Premier Division

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

LANCASTER CITY vs STOCKSBRIDGE PARK STEELS

Final 2:0

Lancaster City won Last goal: Lancaster City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sam Bailey — Lancaster City

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nathan Caine — Lancaster City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Stocksbridge Park Steels
90-minute result: Lancaster City
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 337 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,624 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1732 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
1257 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
1071 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
1409 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
967 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
1219 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
1526 predictions

Match overview