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England · Regional League · Southern Premier Division Central

25 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

NEEDHAM MARKET vs BANBURY UNITED

Final 0:2

Banbury United won Last goal: Banbury United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Chris Wreh — Banbury United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Connor Ferguson — Banbury United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Banbury United
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 505 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,624 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1732 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
475 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
1071 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
1409 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
967 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
513 predictions
Total 4.5 16% (Weak)
206 predictions

Match overview