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Azerbaijan · Premier League

25 Apr 2026 14:30 UTC

FK QABALA vs ARAZ PFK

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Araz PFK

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ömar Buludov (own goal) — FK Qabala
  2. ⚽ Issouf Paro — Araz PFK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Araz PFK
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 167 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 44% (Weak)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
119 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 17% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
156 predictions

Match overview