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Azerbaijan · Premier League

19 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

SUMQAYIT vs FK QABALA

Final 1:0

Sumqayit won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hoccat Haqqverdi — Sumqayit

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
FK Qabala
90-minute result: Sumqayit
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 166 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 165 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
118 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
79 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
119 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
90 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
154 predictions

Match overview