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Belgium · Second Division · Challenger Pro League Promotion Playoff

23 Apr 2026 18:30 UTC

PATRO EISDEN vs BEERSCHOT

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Beerschot

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jordan Renson — Patro Eisden

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ensar Brahic — Beerschot

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Patro Eisden
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 268 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 23% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
189 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
235 predictions

Match overview