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Belgium · Second Division · Proximus League

17 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

GENK U23 vs GENT U23

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 August De Wannemacker — Genk U23
  2. ⚽ Trey Kongolo — Gent U23
  3. ⚽ Kiyan Achahbar — Genk U23

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Genk U23
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 254 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 260 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
200 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
183 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
227 predictions

Match overview