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Belgium · Second Division · Proximus League

17 Apr 2026 18:00 UTC

BEERSCHOT vs LOMMEL

Final 2:1

Beerschot won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bas Van den Eynden — Beerschot
  2. ⚽ Ralf Seuntjens — Lommel

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Glenn Claes — Beerschot

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Lommel
90-minute result: Beerschot
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 254 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 260 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
200 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
103 predictions
Total 1.5 23% (Weak)
52 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
183 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
227 predictions

Match overview