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Asia · AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League Elite Final Stage

21 Apr 2026 16:15 UTC

MACHIDA ZELVIA vs SHABAB AL-AHLI DUBAI FC

Final 1:0

Machida Zelvia won Last goal: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yuki Soma — Machida Zelvia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
90-minute result: Machida Zelvia
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 9% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 113 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 112 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
85 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
96 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
78 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
97 predictions

Match overview