← Back to matches

Asia · AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League Elite Final Stage

16 Apr 2026 16:15 UTC

AL-SADD vs VISSEL KOBE

Final 3:3

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rafa Mújica — Al-Sadd
  2. ⚽ Yuya Osako — Vissel Kobe

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rafa Mújica — Al-Sadd
  2. ⚽ Roberto Firmino — Al-Sadd
  3. ⚽ Yosuke Ideguchi — Vissel Kobe
  4. ⚽ Yoshinori Muto — Vissel Kobe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Al-Sadd
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
16%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 108 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 107 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 19 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
81 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
36 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
14 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
39 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
74 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
93 predictions

Match overview