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Asia · AFC Champions League · AFC Champions League Elite Final Stage

20 Apr 2026 16:15 UTC

VISSEL KOBE vs AL AHLI

Final 1:2

Al Ahli won Last goal: Al Ahli

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Yoshinori Muto — Vissel Kobe

2nd half

  1. Galeno — Al Ahli
  2. Ivan Toney — Al Ahli

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 5% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 112 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 111 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
84 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
73 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
95 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
69 predictions
Total 3.5 24% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
14 predictions

Match overview