← Back to matches

Greece · Super League · Super League Conference League Group

18 Apr 2026 16:00 UTC

ARIS THESSALONIKI FC vs NFC VOLOS

Final 3:2

Aris Thessaloniki FC won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martin Hongla — Aris Thessaloniki FC
  2. ⚽ Matías González — NFC Volos
  3. ⚽ Giannis Kargas — NFC Volos

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Uros Racic — Aris Thessaloniki FC
  2. ⚽ Tino Kadewere — Aris Thessaloniki FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Aris Thessaloniki FC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 186 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
35 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
90 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
169 predictions

Match overview